Greetings,

 

Below is the CAR polling report which is sent to you as a member of Connecticut Association of REALTORS, Inc.  If you have any questions regarding this information, please contact David Pendrys at the CAR office.


Volume 2, Issue 7 - September 22, 2010

Races for Connecticut's Top Seats Heat Up;
Both the Gubernatorial and Senate Elections Are Closer than Ever

Two Quinnipiac University (Q) Polls of Connecticut's likely voters released this week surveyed the general election landscape for Governor and U.S. Senate, and found that both races are within single-digit margins for the first time in this election cycle.

U.S. Senate Race

In the race for United States Senate, the Q-Poll finds CT Attorney General Richard Blumenthal ahead of former executive Linda McMahon 51 to 45 percent. The race is still very much up for grabs despite Blumenthal's lead, with 11 percent of voters who currently support a candidate saying they may change their mind before Election Day. Blumenthal and McMahon each have the support of fellow partisans and they split evenly among independents (47 percent to 46 percent). Capturing independent voters and getting out the vote among their base will be key to securing a win. Blumenthal also needs to watch out for the anti-establishment vote. Forty-two percent of likely voters who currently support McMahon say they are voting against Blumenthal, not for the former executive.

At this point, it comes down to values and experience for Connecticut's likely voters. While Blumenthal and McMahon receive similar numbers on honest and trustworthy (Blumenthal 57 percent, McMahon 58 percent), Blumenthal wins on shares your values (55 percent compared to 49 percent). And, while 72 percent of likely voters say Blumenthal has the right experience to be a U.S. Senator only 39 percent say the same for McMahon.

Governor's race

In the gubernatorial election, Democrat, and former Stamford Mayor, Dan Malloy leads Republican challenger Tom Foley 50 percent to 41 percent among likely voters. More than one-quarter (26 percent) of likely voters say they may change their mind before Election Day. Like the Senate race, both candidates capture the support of the vast majority of their party and split evenly (42 percent each) among undecided voters.

In addition to leading in the vote count, likely voters are more likely to say that Malloy can bring needed change to Hartford (51 percent to Foley's 43 percent), has the right experience to be Governor (66  percent to Foley's 53 percent ), is honest and trustworthy (58 percent to 51 percent) and shares their values (51  percentto 42 percent). 

About the Poll

The Quinnipiac University Poll surveyed 875 Connecticut Likely Voters from September 8-12, 2010. The margin of error for this study is +/- 3 percentage points. Because this survey is of likely voters it cannot be compared to earlier surveys of registered voters. For more information and to see the full results go to http://www.quinnipiac.edu/.

Produced for CAR by Jennifer Necci Dineen, Ph.D, independent research consultant and University of Connecticut professor.