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Greetings,
Below is the CAR polling report which is sent
to you as a member of Connecticut Association of REALTORS,
Inc. If you have any questions regarding this information,
please contact David
Pendrys at the CAR office.
Volume
2, Issue 7 - September 22,
2010
Races for Connecticut's Top Seats Heat
Up; Both the Gubernatorial and Senate Elections Are Closer than
Ever
Two Quinnipiac University (Q) Polls of Connecticut's likely
voters released this week surveyed the general election landscape
for Governor and U.S. Senate, and found that both races are within
single-digit margins for the first time in this election cycle.
U.S. Senate
Race
In
the race for United States Senate, the Q-Poll finds CT Attorney
General Richard Blumenthal ahead of former executive Linda McMahon
51 to 45 percent. The race is still very much up for grabs despite
Blumenthal's lead, with 11 percent of voters who currently support a
candidate saying they may change their mind before Election Day.
Blumenthal and McMahon each have the support of fellow partisans and
they split evenly among independents (47 percent to 46 percent).
Capturing independent voters and getting out the vote among their
base will be key to securing a win. Blumenthal also needs to watch
out for the anti-establishment vote. Forty-two percent of likely
voters who currently support McMahon say they are voting against
Blumenthal, not for the former executive.
At this point, it comes down to values and experience for
Connecticut's likely voters. While Blumenthal and McMahon receive
similar numbers on honest and trustworthy (Blumenthal 57 percent,
McMahon 58 percent), Blumenthal wins on shares your values (55
percent compared to 49 percent). And, while 72 percent of likely voters say Blumenthal
has the right experience to be a U.S. Senator only 39 percent say
the same for McMahon.
Governor's
race
In
the gubernatorial election, Democrat, and former Stamford Mayor, Dan
Malloy leads Republican challenger Tom Foley 50 percent to 41
percent among likely voters. More than one-quarter (26 percent) of
likely voters say they may change their mind before Election Day.
Like the Senate race, both candidates capture the support of the
vast majority of their party and split evenly (42 percent each)
among undecided voters.
In addition to leading in the vote count, likely voters are more
likely to say that Malloy can bring needed change to Hartford
(51 percent to Foley's 43 percent), has the right experience to
be Governor (66 percent to Foley's 53 percent ), is
honest and trustworthy (58 percent to 51 percent) and shares
their values (51 percentto 42 percent).
About the
Poll
The Quinnipiac University Poll
surveyed 875 Connecticut Likely Voters from September 8-12, 2010.
The margin of error for this study is +/- 3 percentage points.
Because this survey is of likely voters it cannot be compared to
earlier surveys of registered voters. For more information and to
see the full results go to http://www.quinnipiac.edu/.
Produced for CAR by Jennifer Necci Dineen, Ph.D,
independent research consultant and University of Connecticut
professor. |